Buh-bye Mitty.



Go back to the buffet, Johnny.



Hasta la visa, frosted Flaky puff!



Donald Trump tops New Hampshire poll

5/3/18

So much for all the talk about a GOP challenge to President Trump.

Trump crushes his potential Republican opponents in head-to-head matchups in New Hampshire, and the president’s loyal followers aren’t wavering despite an onslaught of media attacks, a new poll shows.

Ohio Gov. John Kasich, who recently traveled to New Hampshire to test the waters, gets toasted by Trump in a 68-23 percent blowout among Republican voters in the first-in-the-nation primary state. And it’s worse for Jeff Flake. The Arizona senator falls by a 72-15 percent margin, according to the Suffolk University poll.

Even poor Mitt Romney, who is currently scrambling to head off a conservative challenge in the Utah Senate race, has been abandoned by New Hampshire voters, who overwhelmingly side with Trump in a head-to-head matchup.

In fact, it seems all the talk about Russian collusion and impeachment hasn’t dented Trump much at all.

His numbers among all voters are roughly the same as when he took office: 41 percent favorable, 53 percent unfavorable.

“I don’t think they’re bad numbers,” says Suffolk University pollster David Paleologos. “They reaffirm his strength in the Republican Party and his appeal among his core supporters.”

The poll did not measure Trump’s strength against Democratic opponents, but it’s likely that in 2020 New Hampshire will once again be a key swing state, with Trump remaining competitive.

And the president isn’t hurting other Republicans like many Democrats hope he will. GOP Gov. Chris Sununu is relatively popular in the Granite State, and holds more than 20-point leads over his Democratic challengers.

The Suffolk poll of 315 Republican primary voters, conducted last week, has a plus or minus margin of 5.5 percent.

On the Democratic side, there’s bad news for U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren. She’s ahead.

Warren gets nearly 26 percent support among 295 Democratic primary voters, with former Vice President Joe Biden in second place at 20 percent.

That’s bad for Warren because early front-runners never win in New Hampshire. Just ask Hillary Clinton.

Warren, in fact, should be ahead by an even bigger margin. She’s from neighboring Massachusetts, and liberals have been clamoring for her to run for years.

The Democrats to watch are further down in the polling numbers. Former Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick, who has been out of the public eye for several years, still gets 8 percent support in a field that doesn’t include Warren. New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker gets 10 percent in a Democratic trial heat without Warren in the mix.

The real loser in this poll is Bernie. Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, who destroyed Hillary Clinton in the 2016 New Hampshire primary, is down at just 13 percent in a trial heat that includes Warren. Even in a field without Warren, Sanders is behind Biden.

Paleologos calls Biden the “safe and steady” choice. But that may not be enough in 2020.

------------

Yeah, "safe & steady"...till they see his "hands on" style videos on Youtube.

 

Not a lotta love for Mini-Me.

Deval Patrick may run for president, but Jay Gonzalez, Eric Lesser not endorsing yet



Former Gov. Deval Patrick might be mulling a 2020 presidential run, but he better not bank on early support from his Bay State political proteges.

Democratic gubernatorial candidate Jay Gonzalez — whose claim to fame is serving as budget chief in the Patrick administration — declined to endorse his former boss yesterday.



“I’m going to wait to see who all runs in this Democratic primary for president,” Gonzalez told Boston Herald Radio when asked if he’d back Patrick in what’s likely to be a heavily contested Democratic primary race in 2020.

“I think Gov. Patrick would be a great candidate. He’s somebody who is a great friend of mine, who I had a great experience working with. I think he was a great governor,” Gonzalez said.

What about Patrick’s leadership? Also great?

“I think he has a lot to offer the country,” said Gonzalez, adding the perfunctory, “I’m focused on my own race.”

State Sen. Eric Lesser (D-Longmeadow) also punted.

“We’ll see,” said Lesser, who volunteered for Patrick’s 2006 campaign and got a big boost from the then-governor during his 2014 senate election.

Patrick doesn’t need the endorsements. But the hemming and hawing is indicative of the looming presence of U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren in the 2020 field.

Despite the senior senator’s repeated denials, many local Dems are expecting her to launch a presidential run. She highlighted the possibility at the Democratic State Convention last week, casting her fight against President Trump as a fight for democracy.

Even without Warren, Bay State Democrats could be torn by a teeming 2020 field, with U.S. Reps. Joseph Kennedy III and Seth Moulton as rumored contenders

Patrick will decide whether he’ll jump into the Democratic presidential scrum by the end of this year, according to a Politico report.

“Let’s let him make that decision first,” said Lesser. “To be continued.”

 

A liberal journalist predicts the future...and it ain't a liberal one.

 

False assumption... This is all about his chances against other republicans...

Not democrats...

But of course the Boston Herald can't help but show their partisanship...

Oh no! She's a head... Er, I mean... AHEAD!

 

Yup... Steinberg! Bank on his words... He whines about politics, he makes shit up about music (something that I've personally corrected him on), he puts his personal life on display to garner the sympathy of his readers...

In other words, you can bank on his word all you want. Neil is a whiner...

 

We do not see actual registered democrats, gop , independent registered voters. We do not see actual voters by party over last 19 years. Ballotpedia.org has the numbers. A partisian poll of 300 gop voters? Time for some real numbers and primary numbers. The same dozen gop running and democrats have no plan. Bernie had a plan . clinton had no plan. The gop gave $2t to top 1% and $400m to working people since december. The hyper inflation of 1980 is just around the corner when china and oil companies take on trump. Oil will reach $120 and chinise tarrifs are hitting steel manufacturing. Those in america using steel are going broke. It will take five years to rebuild steel if we started yesterday. What is elector college votes these states?

 

Takes one to know one, huh?

 

20 years ago went to olympia askef the dems if the governor joined the cacus as they were a drm also. Nope not even a veto threat to moderate the gop. Last year my state senator chaited the capitol budget. Ot went un funded for 6 months. He never negoiated or went to the governor for a compromise. So i will vote them both out of office for not doing their job. To add insult to injury tesftimony if trump reforms h2b visas 33% of microsoft will hVe to move to canada. The new ceo of microsoft icrosoft is from india . the net worth of people born in india and working in america is $167 BILLION of course only 267 slots in electrical engineering and only 35 washington residents at uw.

 

Since the Republican Party recently decided to ditch the elephant and find a new mascot, it seems as though they just found one releasing their new mascot logo, what do you think?




Hush....an alias

 

The way Trump wins again


11/18/18

In 2020, if Trump prevails in either Michigan or Pennsylvania, and holds Ohio and Florida, he is almost assured victory

For all the good news 2018’s midterms have given Democrats — a House majority, a Senate seat from Arizona, seven more governorships, and an all-blue congressional delegation from Orange County — they have also shown that President Trump has a clear path to re-election in 2020. Midterms historically maximize the relative turnout for the opposition party. More voters overall will go to the polls in 2020 than did so this year, just as more people voted in 2016 than did so this November. But the ratio of Democrats to Republicans will be narrower, if the past anything to go by. What this means is that races Democrats narrowly won this year would probably have been lost if they were fought in a presidential year, and races that Republicans narrowly won would have been won by a greater margin.

This gives President Trump grounds to feel good about Florida in 2020. Republicans won both of this year’s top statewide races, even after Broward county chaos and recounts. The GOP gubernatorial candidate, Ron DeSantis, ran an aggressive, in some ways Trump-like campaign, and prevailed by a wider margin than the comparatively moderate Republican candidate for Senate, Rick Scott. Florida is in effect Trump’s second home state — perhaps at this point it’s his true home state — and of course he won the state in 2016. If Democrats couldn’t pull Florida away from the Republicans this year, the chances of them doing so in 2020, when Trump himself is at the top of the ticket, are slim. And no potential Democratic presidential nominee in two years’ time has any obvious special appeal to Florida or ties comparable to Trump’s.

In Ohio, another essential state for Trump’s 2020 prospects, former Republican senator Mike DeWine beat Democrat Richard Cordray by a solid four points. The man who replaced DeWine in the Senate after the 2006 election, Democrat Sherrod Brown, had no trouble besting Republican hopeful Jim Renacci in this year’s Senate contest. Which of these two races is the better proxy for the presidential contest in 2020? Unless Brown is the Democratic presidential nominee, the DeWine-Cordray race is the more plausible analogue. Brown could be a formidable Democrat in November 2020, but his odds of getting his party’s nomination are long. His national profile is slight, and he does not excite his party’s left-wing base on either economics or identity politics. Trump, who won Ohio by eight points in 2016, is the favorite to win there again in 2020.

That would be true even if Brown were the Democrats’ vice presidential nominee — he might help to cut into Trump’s margin, but voters pay most attention to the top of the ticket, and in almost any scenario where Brown is the VP, a more left-wing Democrat would have to be on top. The wild card in this is Joe Biden — if he could get the Democrat nomination without too much resistance from the party’s left, he might have the clout to pick a figure like Brown as his running mate. That would be a serious threat to Trump’s chances in Ohio. On the other hand another outlier scenario, an independent presidential bid by outgoing Ohio governor John Kasich, would probably help Trump. As the 2018 cycle demonstrated, by now most NeverTrump Republicans are in fact Democratic voters, and a second non-Trump choice on the ballot would only detract from the Democrats’ total.

Trump has a path, albeit only a narrow one, even if he loses both Pennsylvania and Michigan in two years. If he wins either one, and holds Ohio and Florida, he is almost assured a victory — and if he wins both, it’s guaranteed. If the president faces a difficult task in devising a cultural and economic appeal that works for Arizona as well as for the critical Rust Belt states, Democrats have perhaps an even tougher challenge in appealing to the industrial heartland and to their own left-wing base simultaneously. Biden might be the beneficiary of enough personal goodwill to square the circle; otherwise, there is no Democrat who is clearly stronger against Trump than Hillary Clinton was in 2016. This year’s midterms show that 2020 will indeed be an intense battle, but it’s one that Trump is in a good position to win.

 

Safe space on the left.
Subby has the key.

 

boo hoo hoo hoo ... I am crying a LOT ... let's comfort one another in the Turkish Sauna wing @submissivelyspeaking - it's your turn to hold the key

 

Oh shit.
Old tool has the key?

OI!
Old tool!
Need the key to the safe space.

Quickly please!

 

Shooter is a truck drivin, beer drinkin, gun totin, genetically ambiguous gaping hind in flyover country.

The key isn't for shooter though.
It's for the snowflakes who got the bad news in this thread.

Cmon man!
Don't bogart that safe space!

 

Well then, keep the doors unlocked, would you?
Shooter saw a snowflake (who wishes to remain anonymous) sitting on the steps trying to untie the knots in his underwear and sobbing like a baby.

It was ugly to see, you see.

 

Just like Obama, Democrats are falling for the idea of Beto 2020

If you thought Betomania was over when the Democratic congressman lost his Senate bid to incumbent Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, you'd better think again.

Beto has gone nationwide.

With praise coming in from everyone from Beyoncé to former President Barack Obama and the Texas representative hinting at a possible run at the White House in 2020, Beto O’Rourke has become the cause célèbre among Democratic donors and activists around the country - and looks to shake up what already promises to be a crowded field of Democrats challenging President Trump.